The 14-day forecasts are compiled from several numerical weather models — ECMWF (European), GFS (American) and ICON (German) — with statistical correction against local observations. Reliability: ~85% for days 1-3, ~70% for days 4-7, ~55% for days 8-14. For days 15-30 we synthesise using Météo-France climate normals, see
the long-range forecast.