demainmeteo.frLong-range forecastAix-en-Provence

30-day forecast · Aix-en-Provence

Days 1-14 are a real forecast from global weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on Météo-France climate normals 1991-2020 — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.

30 days — Aix-en-Provence

14 real + 16 synthesised
Fri · Today Clear
+31° +15° 1%
Sat · Tomorrow Clear
+30° +18° 1%
Sunday 14/6 Clear
+32° +19° 1%
Monday 15/6 Clear
+33° +19° 1%
Tuesday 16/6 Clear
+30° +19° 2%
Wednesday 17/6 Clear
+30° +19° 3%
Thursday 18/6 Clear
+31° +20° 1%
Friday 19/6 Clear
+33° +21° 1%
Saturday 20/6 Clear
+35° +21° 1%
Sunday 21/6 Clear
+36° +23° 0%
Monday 22/6 Partly cloudy
+35° +23° 2%
Tuesday 23/6 Clear
+35° +23° 3%
Wednesday 24/6 Clear
+35° +24° 1%
Thursday 25/6 Clear
+34° +23° 1%
Friday 26/6 Rain (climate normal)
+28° +17° 4,8 mm
Saturday 27/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+29° +17° 20%
Sunday 28/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+29° +17° 20%
Monday 29/6 Rain (climate normal)
+27° +16° 7,8 mm
Tuesday 30/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+26° +15° 20%
Wednesday 1/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+27° +16° 20%
Thursday 2/7 Rain (climate normal)
+28° +17° 6,6 mm
Friday 3/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+31° +18° 20%
Saturday 4/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+31° +19° 20%
Sunday 5/7 Rain (climate normal)
+31° +19° 5,0 mm
Monday 6/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+33° +20° 20%
Tuesday 7/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+29° +18° 20%
Wednesday 8/7 Rain (climate normal)
+29° +18° 7,2 mm
Thursday 9/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+27° +16° 20%
Friday 10/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+29° +18° 20%
Saturday 11/7 Rain (climate normal)
+33° +20° 5,9 mm

How does the long-range forecast work?

Days 1-14: Fetched live from global weather models (ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability ~85% for days 1-3, ~60% for days 7-10, ~45% for days 11-14.

Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (a chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the month’s average Tmax/Tmin from Météo-France climate normals 1991-2020 (Paris baseline with latitude correction for Aix-en-Provence), with mild weekly variation.

Use: "Roughly how warm is it usually in Paris in the last week of July?" — a good question for days 15-30. "Will it rain on 27 May?" — no serious forecast can say.

Official weather data from Météo-France (French Meteorological and Hydrological Institute) · Météo-France · French Museum of Natural History · Bison Futé
Updated: 20:24