demainmeteo.frLong-range forecastAjaccio

30-day forecast · Ajaccio

Days 1-14 are a real forecast from global weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on Météo-France climate normals 1991-2020 — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.

30 days — Ajaccio

14 real + 16 synthesised
Fri · Today Clear
+24° +15° 2%
Sat · Tomorrow Clear
+26° +17° 3%
Sunday 14/6 Clear
+26° +17° 2%
Monday 15/6 Clear
+26° +17° 3%
Tuesday 16/6 Clear
+26° +17° 2%
Wednesday 17/6 Clear
+26° +17° 2%
Thursday 18/6 Clear
+28° +19° 2%
Friday 19/6 Showers
+30° +19° 0,4 mm
Saturday 20/6 Clear
+29° +21° 3%
Sunday 21/6 Partly cloudy
+29° +21° 0,1 mm
Monday 22/6 Clear
+32° +22° 17%
Tuesday 23/6 Clear
+30° +23° 1%
Wednesday 24/6 Clear
+30° +22° 1%
Thursday 25/6 Clear
+29° +20° 3%
Friday 26/6 Light rain (climate normal)
+26° +15° 1,1 mm
Saturday 27/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+28° +16° 20%
Sunday 28/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+29° +17° 20%
Monday 29/6 Rain (climate normal)
+28° +16° 2,4 mm
Tuesday 30/6 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+25° +15° 20%
Wednesday 1/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+26° +15° 20%
Thursday 2/7 Light rain (climate normal)
+26° +15° 0,6 mm
Friday 3/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+29° +17° 20%
Saturday 4/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+30° +18° 20%
Sunday 5/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+31° +18° 0,5 mm
Monday 6/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+29° +17° 20%
Tuesday 7/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+28° +17° 20%
Wednesday 8/7 Light rain (climate normal)
+25° +15° 0,8 mm
Thursday 9/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+27° +16° 20%
Friday 10/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+28° +16° 20%
Saturday 11/7 Light rain (climate normal)
+32° +19° 0,8 mm

How does the long-range forecast work?

Days 1-14: Fetched live from global weather models (ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability ~85% for days 1-3, ~60% for days 7-10, ~45% for days 11-14.

Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (a chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the month’s average Tmax/Tmin from Météo-France climate normals 1991-2020 directly for Ajaccio, with mild weekly variation.

Use: "Roughly how warm is it usually in Paris in the last week of July?" — a good question for days 15-30. "Will it rain on 27 May?" — no serious forecast can say.

Official weather data from Météo-France (French Meteorological and Hydrological Institute) · Météo-France · French Museum of Natural History · Bison Futé
Updated: 16:04